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David Kanecki
11-29-1993, 03:27 PM
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E M E R G E N C Y M A N A G E M E N T / P L A N N I N G
Volume 1, Issue 4, November 29, 1993

Moderator: David H. Kanecki, A.C.S., Bio. Sci., Assoc. VP Emer. Mgmt/Planning
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To obtain the newsletter or send information, please contact:
David H. Kanecki, A.C.S., Bio. Sci.
P.O. Box 26944
Wauwatosa, WI 53226-0944

I would like to thank the University of Wisconsin - Parkside in Keno-
sha, Wisconsin for providing the electronic mail distribution facili-

Contents of this Issue
1. Thanksgiving -- The Role of a specific monitoring date

2. Summary of papers submitted to the Emergency Management and Plan
ning Conference, Part 2

3. Thoughts on --- Key facts of Decision

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1. Thanksgiving -- The Role of a specific monitoring date
By David H. Kanecki, A.C.S., Bio. Sci.
Associate Vice President, Emergency Management/Planning-SCS

In the United States, the last Thursday of November is Thanksgiv-
ing. In this holiday, families give thanks for the current year. Also,
families use this holiday to monitor what is needed for the upcoming

In Emergency Management and Planning, it is important for indi-
viduals to set up specific times to monitor ongoing activities and to
determine what activities are needed for the future. To monitor an
activity, one needs to determine what has changed. To determine what
has changed, one needs to keep accurate and timely records. Finally,
one needs to present this information in a format that allows one to
observe a change. Finally, individuals need to correspond with each
other so that they can monitor a system. Thus, organization and indi-
vidualism are both required to do management and planning.

2. Summary of papers submitted to the SCS Emergency Management and
Planning conference, April 11-14, 1994, San Diego

By David H. Kanecki, A.C.S., Bio. Sci.
Associate Vice President, Emergency Management/Planning-SCS

In one paper, the authors described an example on how simulation
for emergency management and planning can be used to develop a plan
for a city. In their model, the city has expanded to the outlying
industrial areas. With this model, the authors can determine the
effect of an action at a site. In addition, this simulation has been
used to develop an instrument that can aid others.

In another paper, a group of authors describe a route analysis
simulation system. With this system, the authors can determine the
expectation and adaptation of the driver when choosing a route. This

system is made to work on large scale routes, freeways, and smaller
scale routes, arterial routes. Thus, the system described is valuable
to persons working a regional, county, or city system.

The next paper describes a system to simulate dynamic demograph-
ic, socioeconomic, and household behavior to analysis the travel
demand management of an area. In this system, new forms of travel
options can be added. This allows the authors to monitor the effect of
population movement for an area. In addition, these additions can be
modeled on a individual basis. Thus, this system allows a macro and
micro analysis of the movement of a population or individual.

In the three papers described, there were 14 individuals in-
volved. Also, all three papers utilized neural networks and simulation
to model a dynamic activity. In addition, all three papers model the
effects of environmental planning as industrial; transportation grid;
demographic, socioeconomic, and household factors to travel. Finally,
all these system can be used on a regional to city level.

To submit a paper or obtain information about the conference,
please contact the Society for Computer Simulation:

c/o Emergency Management, SMC '94
P.O. Box 17900
San Diego, CA 92177

phone (619)-277-3888
e-mail: scs@sdsc.edu

3. Thoughts on -- Key Facts of Decision
By David H. Kanecki, A.C.S., Bio. Sci.
Associate Vice President, Emergency Management/Planning-SCS

From the Kanecki family writing, I would like to offer this
thought on decision making.

A decision is based on three elements: facts, assumed details,
and uncontrollable elements. Good decision making in Emergency Manage-
ment and Planning takes in the options of contingencies or uncertain-
ties so that successful, timely, and orderly logistics management is